Developing IDF curve of extreme rainfall at Tan Son Hoa station for the period 1980-2015

Abstract

Recently, the Intensity – Duration – Frequency (IDF) relationship of extreme rainfalls in a local area is usually investigated to provide accurate required data for calculating, planning, and developing urban drainage systems, especially in the context of climate change. Traditionally, IDF curves are computed based on a statistical method for analyzing the frequency of occurrence or non-occurrence of annual extreme rainfall events over a return period; or based on a probability distribution function of these events. However, these traditional methods do not take into consideration the relationship between extreme rainfalls of different durations as they only simulate the intensity of extreme rainfall events at each individual duration after generated a large number of parameter sets. Therefore, the results of these methods are inaccurate and much depend on the actual observed data. In this study, a new approach to develop IDF relations was proposed based on the scale-invariance nature of extreme rainfalls at different durations. This method will be examined and compared with traditional methods based on the IDF curves of extreme rainfalls at Tan Son Nhat gauge station (HCMC) from 1980 to 2015. Results have indicated that there is a linear relationship between extreme rainfalls at different time scales and showed that the proposed method is appropriate for estimating the IDF curves with many prominent advantages rather than traditional method.